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Dispatch · Malaysia

The Second Signature

Malaysia signed a contract for a 688-kilometre railway across the peninsula in 2016, suspended it in 2018, and signed a cheaper version of the same project in 2019. The published difference between those numbers is the clearest public account anyone has of what a piece of Belt and Road infrastructure is actually worth.

ExplWorld Editorial
6 August 2026 · 5 min read · Vol. 1 · Summer 2026

At Mentakab, in the middle of Pahang, two railways meet. One is a single track of metre-gauge laid between 1910 and 1931, on which a diesel shuttle runs a few times a day and stops wherever anybody is standing. The other is a line of concrete box girders on piers, standard gauge, double track, electrified, carrying nothing at all yet. They cross within sight of each other, and the second one cost more than the entire Malaysian federal health budget for a year.

The East Coast Rail Link runs 665 kilometres from Kota Bharu in Kelantan down the coast to Kuantan and then west across the peninsula to Port Klang, with twenty stations in four states. It is built by China Communications Construction Company and financed largely by a loan from the Export-Import Bank of China. Construction stood at 91.7 per cent in February 2026, with the first electric trainsets delivered to Kuantan for testing, and the first phase, Kota Bharu to Gombak on the edge of Kuala Lumpur, is due to carry passengers from January 2027. Getting to that sentence took two governments, one suspension and two signatures on the same project.

What was signed in 2016

Najib Razak's government signed the engineering contract with CCCC in November 2016 and announced a cost of RM55 billion. Construction began in August 2017. When the next government went through the paperwork it put the contract value at RM65.5 billion, about 85 per cent of it borrowed from China Exim on a twenty-year term. In January 2019 the Wall Street Journal reported, citing minutes of meetings it had seen, that Chinese officials had offered in 2016 to help settle the debts of the state fund 1MDB in return for a role in Malaysian infrastructure projects, the rail link among them. The report was denied on both sides. It has never been withdrawn either.

Cancelled

Najib lost the general election of May 2018, and on 3 July his successor suspended the project. Mahathir Mohamad, back in office at ninety-two, said plainly that the country could not afford it and used the phrase "a new version of colonialism" about the terms. What he could not do was walk away. RM19.68 billion had already gone to the contractor — RM10.02 billion of it advance payment, the rest progress claims — against physical progress of around 13 per cent, and terminating outright was costed at RM21.78 billion in compensation for a railway that would then not exist. The cheapest moment to cancel had been before the first payment, and it had gone.

Suspension is not cancellation. It is a way of telling a contractor that you would like to renegotiate and that you have stopped paying in the meantime, which is a weaker position than it looks and a stronger one than nothing.

What the renegotiation bought

A supplementary agreement was signed on 12 April 2019. The price came down to RM44 billion, a reduction Mahathir put at RM21.5 billion, and CCCC agreed to return RM1 billion of a RM3.1 billion advance it had taken for phase two and a northern extension that was now cancelled — half within a week of signing, half within a month. The length fell to 648 kilometres from 688. Two structural things changed with it. The trans-peninsular section was rerouted south through Negeri Sembilan, avoiding the expensive crossing of the Titiwangsa range. And the contractor took a fifty-fifty stake in the joint venture that will operate and maintain the finished line — which means the company that built it now has a direct interest in whether anybody rides it.

And then moved back

The southern realignment lasted two years. In 2021 the route reverted to the original northern alignment through Gombak, which put the hard engineering back into the scope: a 16.39-kilometre twin-bore tunnel under the mountains at Genting, the longest railway tunnel in the country and in South-East Asia, and two more bores at Serendah of 3.5 and 9.9 kilometres. The price settled at RM50.27 billion and the length at 665 kilometres, and successive transport ministers have repeated both figures since. Separately, in December 2022, the ministry told parliament that total development cost comes to RM74.96 billion: the RM50.27 billion of construction plus RM24.69 billion of interest during construction, land acquisition, utility diversion and operating expenses. Both numbers are true. They answer different questions, and only one of them is ever quoted.

What it is for

Two arguments, and they do not carry equal weight. The passenger case is straightforward: Kota Bharu to Kuala Lumpur in about four hours against seven or eight by road, on a coast that has never had a fast connection to the capital and has watched its young people leave along the trunk road for fifty years. The freight case is the one the economics rest on — a land bridge from Kuantan Port on the east coast to Port Klang on the west, so that containers cross the peninsula on rail rather than going the long way round through the Strait of Malacca. That saves time. Whether it saves money depends on shippers agreeing to pay for two extra port handlings, and sea freight is slow precisely because it is cheap.

The new line follows the coast and then cuts inland at Mentakab. It does not go near Kuala Lipis, Gua Musang or Dabong, the interior towns strung along the old railway, and it was never intended to. Those places keep the metre-gauge line finished in 1931, single track, flood-prone and slow, on which the ticket from one end to the other costs less than a taxi across Kuala Lumpur. It is not a heritage service and it is not being preserved for anybody's benefit; it is the only railway those stations will ever have, and it survives because replacing it was never on any of the three versions of the plan.

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